12 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1298
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kubat
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1234
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~70 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H47-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.