12 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1638
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Polasek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1634
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 69% (371)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H77-76
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.