12 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1265
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kubat
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1298
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Serak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 30% · 3.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H2-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.