12 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1270
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Havrda
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1265
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Serak🌟Serak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.