12 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1234
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Havrda
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1270
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Havrda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (19)
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H31-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.