13 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hutnik
ELO 1485
FormLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1524
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (89)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.