13 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1564
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cabak
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hutnik
ELO 1485
FormLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Cabak stays under total as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.