13 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Janata
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1533
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Janata rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (53)
Fair odds · Janata
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+79
H2H56-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.