13 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1541
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stolfa
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1533
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.