13 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1517
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Walek
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1587
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adamczyk🌟Adamczyk covers set handicap as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Walek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.