13 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1524
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Byrtus
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1517
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adamczyk🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (89)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.