13 Aug · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1499
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kasnik
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1525
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kasnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.