13 Aug · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1562
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Postelt
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H58-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-39)