13 Aug · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1642
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1732
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 69% (378)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H33-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-12)