13 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇨🇿Matej Grundel
ELO 1577
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prikasky
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1639
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Grundel covers set handicap as underdog 69% (45)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.