13 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1639
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prikasky
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1611
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Skotnica covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.