13 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1625
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Klement
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1525
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H26-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-21)