13 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1379
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulava
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1456
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H127-105
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.