13 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1600
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Urbaniec
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 64% (202)
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.