14 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skakal
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tazler
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1629
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.