14 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1505
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1604
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+99
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)