15 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1302
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1390
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+88
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)