15 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1594
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Saleny
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Saleny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H16-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.