15 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1631
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolisnyk
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 70% (56)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.