15 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1494
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bosak
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Bosak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.