15 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1379
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Toth
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1365
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Toth rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Toth
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H16-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.