15 Aug · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1568
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vedmoch
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)