15 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1507
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Taichman
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (101)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.