15 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1320
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Martinek
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1302
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Martinek stays under total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.