15 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1390
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1375
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Novotny stays under total as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.