15 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Svacha
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1647
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 70% (56)
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.