14 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1617
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svacha
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1647
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H15-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.