15 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1451
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jungman
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Jungman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Jungman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.