15 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Trinta
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Briza covers set handicap as underdog 64% (136)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H42-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.