15 Aug · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Horak
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Briza🌟Briza covers set handicap as underdog 64% (136)
Fair odds · Horak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H51-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.