15 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1444
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Briza
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1449
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Svoboda covers set handicap as underdog 62% (45)
Fair odds · Briza
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.