16 Aug · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1675
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zeman
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1577
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Zeman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (37)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)