16 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1646
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kratochvil
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1577
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanera🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (95)
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.