16 Aug · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1537
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Taichman
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1501
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Velicka🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (103)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.