17 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1499
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Taichman
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blejchar🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (104)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H17-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.