17 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1423
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1457
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Levicky stays under total as favourite 62% (79)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.