17 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1500
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+120
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)