17 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1456
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tobola
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1478
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stach🌟Tobola rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (14)
Fair odds · Tobola
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.