17 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1478
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tobola
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1423
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Tobola rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (14)
Fair odds · Tobola
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.