17 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1289
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucera
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kucera
ELO 1316
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kucera stays under total as favourite 76% (17)
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.