17 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1499
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+121
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)