17 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1582
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zuzanek
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Holik
ELO 1541
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Zuzanek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (152)
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.