16 Aug · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1518
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Didi
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Didi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.