17 Aug · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1623
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Louda
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1516
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Louda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+107
H2H42-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-23)