17 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1516
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1571
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.